Now the recession is over? Or history repeat?

Last weekend a friend told me at dinner that there was no economic downturn. He noted that the fact that construction is on all of its elegance.
In fact, he said (no), the economic downturn is likely to be the result of excessive media praises some bad news for their approval ratings. Another of my friends agreed. Both women see in their disbelief - raising their eyebrows in skepticism silence.

He suggested that the recession is indeed a reality, not the spirit of creatures hidden in the lake. Alan Greenspan, the former head of the Federal Reserve began to convene this fall in the worst financial crisis since the accident of'29 to deliver, even if Lehman Brothers legs.

Depression era historian and replace Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, have a more positive picture. "Recently, we have tried to signal that the slowdown in economic activity may be slowing."

The question is not whether the decline of real or not, but when it expires at the end. In recent bear market concentration on the road in coming? Or, as the history of the last race, only to sign another dizzy? To give a recent article ... I believe that the current rally is guilty until innocent.

There have been several demonstrations in front of tailspins Bear in the past. There are several on the 1957-58 recession, a young woman in 1973 and returning in 1930. Three recession instilled a sense of optimism before the busy portfolio.

August 30, 1929 Dow Jones Industrial Average peaked at 380.33. October 24, 1929 Wall Street crash - sending the world economy into depression. Nine months later, the economic indicators predicted a further decline. On the stock market, on the other hand, showed a return to prosperity.

In June 1930, U.S. President Herbert Hoover, a wise tone: "Sir, you have 60 days too late. Depression is over." Markets continue to decline and bottomed in July 1932, a full 2 years after Hoover stated mission.

On 12 October 2007, Dow highest level of 14,093.10. During the summer of 2008, markets thrive despite economic warning signs. Mid-September, the markets crashed by more than 11400 points on Sept. 12, 8400 to 24 th October.

Since the Dow has a number of meetings at short notice. All of this will be removed if the Dow hits 6600 points in early March. Currently, Dow around 8300, fueling optimism that the markets are lower.

But are they? If investors penny we have waited a long time, but not back on the rebound?

Increased investment advisor said: "In markets such as the figures show us that the worst is behind us." This is likely to be another outlet, but not low-impact or injury.

Economic Cycle Research Institute predicts that the economic downturn before the end of summer. Too far? Chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab said on Good Morning America this week that a recession is already over.

"I think that probably in April, he said. Noting that the economic indicators show that the economy bottoms and begins to rotate.

Maybe.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits up to 32000 up to 637000 during the week of May 9, the Labor Department said the total number of unemployed people receiving unemployment benefits rose to a record level of 6.56 million euros.

Continued weakness in the labor market, which is closely related to the costs, some market veterans were skeptical stock market and the recent view that the U.S. economy is on the rebound in the near future.

Nouriel Roubini, professor of economics at the University of New York, which has become known for predicting the current economic crisis, said recently: "In the past two years, the stock market in six of the past economic recoveries to zero - that is, six concentrations decline permanently disabled, and further losses. "

What is a penny stock for investors?

Bond guru Bill Gross is the view that investors should be optimistic about the U.S. economy short-term. "Do not be fooled in the euphoria of sight" outbreaks "and requires a new bull markets ...", he said. "A stable and reliable income remains on the agenda."

But to pretend that you are an average of penny stock investors, who little more optimistic about the future of this market. Because the investment funds that they believe that the money that companies are interested in that at some stage, success, prosperity and reward its portfolio.

At the market bottom? Only Sylvia Browne knows. And she said no. With regard to investors' optimism, the recent demonstration of the U.S. population to rebuild the region.

If you are afraid of falling and not share in the market shares in its portfolio, now is a good time to think about change, DASS current concentration does not mean that the window of opportunity in penny stocks closed. He is still very open.

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